According to the new British Council report The future of the world’s mobile students to 2024 there will be 3.8 million mobile HE students all over the world by 2024, whereas two years ago the number was just three million.
India and China will contribute 35% of the global growth in international students while the most popular education destinations – the USA, Uk and Australia – will continue to attract the largest numbers of students. The emerging host countries such as China and Malaysia, will be much more competitive. The new major sending countries, such as Nigeria, Saudia Arabia and Indonesia, will make their way to the top. The research includes analyses of three scenarios in international education, in order “to better understand the possible effects of the future global environment”. The report is not openly available and can be purchased from the British Council for US$250.
The researchers have found out that the global gross HE ratio will continue to rise until 2024, and overall enrolments will increase by 32 million – 1.4% – a year, to 196 million worldwide. India’s enrolment growth will be the highest in the world. It is predicted that by 2024, India, China, Indonesia and the USA would be home to more than half of the world’s students in the age range 18-22 years. Although recent years have seen the growth of around 6% a year, the British Council research maintains that the numbers of “outbound mobile” international students in the whole world would grow by on average 1.8% a year and would reach 3.85 million by 2024.
The dominating sending countries it seems would continue to be China and India, sending huge students flows to the United States and United Kingdom. By 2024, the mobile student population from China is forecast to be 855,000 while India will send 376,000 students – together contributing a third of all mobile students globally. Although China is rapidly developing its own HE system, and therefore the demand among Chinese students to study abroad may decline.
The report also says that Germany could become the third largest sender of students by 2024 while “Saudi Arabia, Nigeria, Nepal, Pakistan, Iraq, Brazil, Turkey and Indonesia will emerge as important origin markets”.
Such host countries as the USA, Britain, Australia, Germany and Canada will continue to be the world’s major destinations of international students, according to the British Council report. America will be the “major beneficiary” of growth in student mobility from China and India, while Britain will benefit from the large markets of India, Nigeria, Saudi Arabia and Pakistan. The research forecasts that India will replace China as the UK’s top student sender.
Growth in international students going to Australia will be even slower, largely because of a strong currency and the high cost of living, with the country attracting only an extra 71,000 students by 2024, the council forecasts. In terms of host countries the British council report predicts that China, Malaysia and maybe India could become major host countries in the coming decade.
THE SOURCE: UniversityWorldNews
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